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胡 Vs 曾

09 2月

路透社前段时间报道,曾庆红的支持者要求胡锦涛将国家主席一职让给曾庆红

我认为这不太可能发生,而我也不想看到这种发展。

由执政党主席担任国家主席和军委主席,反映了国家的宪政进步。很多国家有这种安排,或者由执政党主席担任总理(内阁制),或者担任总统(总统制)。反之,如果胡锦涛让出国家主席,而留任军委主席和党主席,从政治安排上,则是一种军人治国(实际上胡并非军人);或者是更赤裸裸的以党治国。中华人民共和国历史上,刘少奇曾经担任有实权的国家主席,林彪则试图担任国家主席,这些国家主席的失败的政治实践,使得后来的国家主席基本上成为虚位元首……直到江泽民时代。

果然,最近路透社又报道,胡锦涛建议曾庆红担任政协主席,发挥其在统战方面的专长。对于这种说法,报道中也反映了不同意见。

One Chinese journalist who had heard discussion of Zeng moving to the CPPCC said the position seemed too lowly for the ambitious son of an honored revolutionary. “It would be too embarrassing for him,” the journalist said.

另外一种可能是,曾庆红援引李鹏的先例,担任人大主席。不过这样的话,吴邦国就要退休了。当前对曾庆红的安排的讨论,令我不由得想起另外一个问题,在十六大的党政结构中,曾庆红何以屈据吴邦国、贾庆林之后,排列第五?不知道是否有知晓内情者可以回答这个问题。

这则报道透露的另外的信息则是:

The incumbent chairman of the CPPCC, Jia Qinglin, is widely expected to step down. His wife has been dogged by a scandal embroiling smuggling kingpin Lai Changxing, who is fighting extradition to China from Canada.

Vice Premier Huang Ju and security tsar Luo Gan are expected to retire from the Standing Committee due to poor health and age, sources and analysts say.

因为黄菊患病,一般预期黄菊将在十七大上退休。那么,黄菊和贾庆林都将在十七大上退休,传说中的江系人马在十七大上将只剩曾庆红和李长春两人。

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Posted by 于 二月 9, 2007 in 每日杂谈

 

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